Author: UPFINA

Reading Time: 5 minutes In this article we will review a couple of dynamic changes in the market and one myth which needs to be busted. One of

Reading Time: 5 minutes The biggest trend in markets is the US economy’s outperformance over emerging markets and other developed economies. The data keeps adding up and expanding

Reading Time: 4 minutes There are two ways to look at the charts from Pew Research which shows the percentage of household heads who rent their home. Source:

Reading Time: 4 minutes The economic expansion from 2009-2018 hasn’t been helping most millennials because the biggest benefits have been gained by those who own assets like stocks.

Reading Time: 5 minutes In a previous article we showed that Guggenheim expects a recession in the 2nd half of 2019. Wall Street has the stigma that everything is

Reading Time: 5 minutes There has been a huge increase in corporate debt to record levels, but the cost to service the debt is manageable because interest rates

Reading Time: 5 minutes The US and Europe are in significantly different situations in terms of economic growth, inflation, and monetary policy. America’s year over year core PCE

Reading Time: 5 minutes Ever since the economy started weakening in 2007 all the way until the Fed’s first hike of this cycle in late 2014, the Fed’s

Reading Time: 5 minutes Macroeconomic analysis is not about finding indicators and mindlessly listening to them. The game is difficult because the world is always changing. There might

Reading Time: 5 minutes The April jobs report in the US wasn’t great as there were misses across the board. The total jobs created was 164,000 which missed

Reading Time: 5 minutes The S&P 500 is at a critical juncture as investors and traders will be determining if this is the start of another bear market,

Reading Time: 4 minutes There is lots of incredible analysis when it comes to finance and economics. However, a lot of it overlooks the simplest detail that is

Reading Time: 5 minutes In this article, we will discuss some of the countervailing trends which are occurring to help you formulate a balanced outlook on the markets

Reading Time: 5 minutes The economy is seeing a modest pickup in inflation even as GDP growth slowed to 2.3% in Q1 of 2018. That puts the Fed

Reading Time: 5 minutes There is a lot of speculation about what the rise of passive investing will do to the economy and the stock market. In theory,

Reading Time: 5 minutes Heading into the Q1 earnings season, we mentioned that the bar was raised very high. Usually, the estimates fall a few weeks before the

Reading Time: 5 minutes Many bearish investors have become obsessed with being negative about stocks on the grounds that investor sentiment was at an all-time high in January

Reading Time: 5 minutes A statement popular in business is “if you’re not growing, you’re dying” (attributed to William Burroughs). It’s a great quote because it shows how

The current situation with the proposed tariffs between China and the US is somewhere in between a trade war and negotiation tactics. We’ll call it a “trade battle”

Reading Time: 4 minutes The U.S. stock market is in a 9 year bull market which makes many investors skeptical of the continued likelihood of market out performance.

Reading Time: 5 minutes In the past few weeks we have reported on the economic weakness in Europe. The Citi Economic Surprise index for Europe is extremely negative

Reading Time: 5 minutes We previously reviewed the oil market in U.S. Shale vs. OPEC Oil Price War: Who Will Win?. American production of oil accelerated from 2012

Reading Time: 5 minutes Every business cycle has a debt build up followed up an inevitable deleveraging. In order to grow their businesses in excess of existing cash

Reading Time: 5 minutes A big question investors are trying to wrap their heads around is why the headlines suddenly matter to equities in 2018. There were geopolitical

Reading Time: 5 minutes The U.S. economy is entering its 4th economic slowdown of this expansion, which has been relatively weak. To be clear, the economy isn’t close