Why an Intelligent Investor Knows that Good Investing Hurts
“You need to be comfortable being uncomfortable.” – Mark Owen, Navy SEAL
Just like a Navy SEAL, the Intelligent Investor knows that good investing can hurt some of the time.
Okay, maybe a lot of the time.
Morgan Housel from the Motley Fool cites a study just conducted by Research Associates.
Of 350 mutual funds available to investors in 1970, only 100 survived through 2014. The other 250 closed, or were merged with other funds. Of the 100 that survived, 45 beat the market over the whole period; 42 of them beat it by less than two percentage points per year.
So what? Everyone knows that many mutual funds can’t consistently beat the market.
What’s remarkable is that the three “superstar” funds that did beat the market by more than 2 percentage points a year for 45 years, spent, on average, a third of the time underperforming the market on a rolling three-year basis.
As Housel points out:
The same thing happened to Warren Buffett in the 1990’s, when everyone was getting themselves wrapped up in the dot-com craze.
Buffett was widely chastised by analysts and the media throughout the late 90’s for not jumping aboard the internet train. People called him too old, too conservative, out-of-touch, and a has-been.
To some extent, those criticisms are valid. But here are his reasons for not hopping on board:
1. He didn’t understand many of the new tech stocks, and he doesn’t invest in what he doesn’t understand
2. He saw the bubble being created by outlandish valuations (in March 2000, the P/E for the Nasdaq was a sky-high 175!).
Present Day
To be sure, Buffett felt a lot of pain during this period, as he both underperformed the high-flying internet stocks and was ridiculed for doing so. His biography, The Snowball, even opens in July 1999 in the midst of this very drama.
But in the end, Buffett adhered to his Intelligent Investor principles, endured the pain, and had the last laugh. He has since learned a great deal about technology, and has added some big name tech companies to the Berkshire Hathaway portfolio. In fact, Apple is currently the largest holding!
Learn to Learn
Learn from Buffett’s mistakes. At the end of the day, intelligent investors should never invest in a business they don’t understand. It’s just asking for trouble. However, don’t let a knowledge gap hinder you from learning about a whole new business or industry that is ripe for investment.
Part of the joys of investing in stock market is learning from your experiences. Strive to learn how a business operates, makes money, and rewards their shareholders. By adopting a hunger for learning, you will inevitably find success.
